A two-stage proxy variable approach to estimating movie box office receipts     

Frederick W. Derrick  Nancy A. Williams  Charles E. Scott 《Journal of Cultural Economics》2014,38(2):173-189

This paper advances the ongoing discussion of methods for predicting movie box office revenues with two contributions to the methodology and an out-of-sample test of the model. The first innovation is the development of a two-stage model using publicly available pre-release indicators to predict (1) initial week and (2) subsequent run box office revenues. To incorporate the experience-good nature of movies, the second stage is estimated by incorporating a proxy variable for box office success during the first week relative to predicted first week success. The second contribution is an empirical test of De Vany and Walls’ (J Econ Dyn Control 28:1035–1057, 2004) finding that the distribution of movie revenues has “heavy tails” and follows a non-Gaussian stable distribution with infinite variance. We estimate the two-stage model of a movie’s box office success on all general release movies in 1 year with both the Gaussian and stable distribution with heavy tails and infinite variance and find no evidence for the stable distribution in either stage of the estimation. This two-stage model is validated by comparing all general release movies in 3 future years (out-of-sample data) to the model’s predictions.  相似文献   

Motor Skill Analysis: Coincidence-Anticipation     

Robert E. Stadulis 《Quest (Human Kinetics)》2013,65(1):70-73

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Votary,Vixen and Vulgarian: German governesses and English Domesticity in Novels by Charlotte Yonge,Charlotte Brontë and Mary Braddon     

Susan N. Bayley 《Cultural and Social History》2013,10(5):643-661

ABSTRACT

Among the most amusing vignettes in Victorian novels are German governesses created by Charlotte Yonge, Charlotte Brontë and Mary Braddon. Fräulein Ohnglaube is a votary who believes in ghosts. Fräulein Müller is a vixen with a secret ambition, and Fräulein Braun is a vulgarian who scoffs two breakfasts of beef and beer. All are depicted as potential threats to the values and norms of the English ‘cult’ of domesticity.This paper argues that these authors wished to preserve and celebrate ‘pure‘ English domesticity . Their negative representations of German governesses reveal how thoroughly English and anti-cosmopolitan were their conceptualisations of domestic life.  相似文献   

Software design for microprocessors: by J. G. Webster and W. D. Simpson 373 pp. diagrams,illus., 6×9 in., Texas Instruments Corp., Dallas, 1976     

M.E. Sloan 《Journal of The Franklin Institute》1978,305(1):60-61

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Effects of social comparison on aggression and regression in groups of young children.     

J W Santrock  P C Smith  P E Bourbeau 《Child development》1976,47(3):831-837

The influence of negative, equal, and positive social comparison and of nonsocial comparison upon 4- and 5-year-old black children's subsequent aggressive and regressive behavior in 3-member groups was investigated. The group behavior of boys included more physical agression following negative social comparison than the other treatments, and their group behavior also consisted of more nonverbal teasing behavior following the negative comparison treatment than that of the equal and nonsocial comparison groups. When the behavior of the nontarget partners was controlled, children initiated more physical aggression, nonverbal teasing, and regression after experiencing negative social comparison with the partners than after following the other treatments. There was some evidence to support the reciprocal influence of children's aggressive behavior on each other, particularly for boys following imbalanced social comparison treatments.  相似文献   

Adult Learning: An Overview     

Susan Imel 《Review of Education, Pedagogy & Cultural Studies》2013,35(3):345-349

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Bibliographical activities of special libraries in Latin America     

Arthur E. Gropp 《International Information and Library Review》2013,45(3):375-378

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Big‐time football: Panacea for a college's survival     

Erving E. Beauregard 《国际体育史杂志》2013,30(1):104-111

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Anglo-Saxon plant remedies and the Anglo-Saxons.     

L E Voigts 《Isis; an international review devoted to the history of science and its cultural influences》1979,70(252):250-268

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Effects of sorting on subsequent recall of unrelated items: a developmental study.     

P E Worden 《Child development》1975,46(3):687-695

Second graders, fifth graders, and adults participated in 2 experiments designed to study the effects of sorting on subsequent recall of unrelated words. 1 group sorted the items freely, while a second group was constrained to learn the sorting schemes generated by free subjects. In the first experiment, subjects sorted until they reached a criterion of organizational stability. In Experiment 2, sorting was terminated prior to reaching a stable criterion. Recall and output clustering were reduced in Experiment 2, relative to Experiment 1, because of organizational instability. No meaningful differences were found in either experiment in the sorting schemes generated by free subjects in the 3 age groups, nor was there an effect of age of yoking partner on performance of constrained subjects. This result differed from previous research, and it was concluded that the sorting technique diminished differences in organizational behavior usually found between older and younger subjects.  相似文献